We can beat Bama, and I think we can do it without playing our best game.
I know stats don't tell the whole story. But they do tell part of a story.
There is a lot of misconception about Bama.
When I think of Bama, I think of a team you can't stop from running and a team that you can't run against.
Neither is completely true - especially the part that you can't stop them from running.
A brief look at this year's stats, which do mean something at this point in the year, says two things real quick.
First, Bama is the best D we've seen all year.
Second, surprisingly, we're the best defense they've seen too.
Statistically, we're the second best D they've seen. Va Tech being #1.
But Va Tech played no one. The best win Va Tech has this year is either N.carolina or Ga. Tech. They didn't beat a ranked team all year.
AND.... Bama played Va. Tech the first game of the year.
So, sinse then, we're the best D Bama will face all year. I honstly think Va Tech's defense isn't as good as ours is.
Offensively, they throw better than we do (no kidding right?) - well exept for Grant Bothun, who at this point has a 99.9% passer rating (Thanks OSU!!!
But they're not great at it. They're #60 in the county. We're #99.
And the defenses they've played are just a bit below the level of defenses we've faced.
And Auburn, who they just lost to isn't even on the first page of stats (top 50) of total defense.
Bama's offense only put 28 against Auburn, a defense that is worse than many we've faced this year. Worse than OSU and we just put up 33 against them with a rag tag beat up offense playing 3 QBs in one game with 4 different people thowing passes.
My point? We can win a defensive battle with Alabama.
And I think we can score more than most believe as long as we don't drop the ball like we did against Texas - our worst game of the year by far.
Quick list of stats...
2nd best rush defense Bama has seen - Va tech #8 and the statistical best to date
LSU #43 (statistically the 2nd best D Bama has seen up to this point in all D categories)
Bama is the best rush D we've seen #11
Best we've seen so far is OSU at 22 followed by Baylor at 25 - both better than any team Bama has seen this year
2nd best scoring D they've seen -- Va Tech best to date
But then we're 23, Next best they've seen is LSU at 30
We've played OSU #14 baylor #19 - both better than any team Bama has seen this year (excluding Va Tech)
Bama #2 scoring D.
2nd best total D - Va Tech best to date
Next best they've seen is LSU at 20
Baylor was #17 - So we've played better defenses than Bama has to date.
Total D Alabama #5
Bama beat 2 ranked teams.
and Ole Miss 25-0
Lost to Auburn
Oklahoma beat 1 ranked team all year. OSU
Lost to Baylor and Texas
So, Oklahoma has the best win of both Bama by OU beating OSU (vs. Bama beating LSU)
But Bama has 1 more win against ranked teams (LSU and Ole Miss - who statistically is pretty bad and I think gets love for being in the SEC)
Bama #18 Rush offense
Keep in mind when looking at the offensive stats here, we've played better defenses than Bama. We run the ball as good as they do.
I can't find any passing D stats on the NCAA site tonight for some reason.