You can read more about the methodology used in Rasmussen's daily presidential approval poll at http://www.rasmussenreports.com/publ..._polling_firms. On the website, Rasmussen notes that their poll uses automated polling machines to conduct polls. They state: "Rasmussen Reports uses an automated polling methodology while some firms use operator-assisted techniques. Generally, these different methodologies generate about the same level of approval for different political figures, but the automated technology generally registers a higher level of disapproval. There’s no way to be sure why this happens, but it may simply be that some people are reluctant to offer a negative opinion about another human being to a live operator." They then go on to state that the trends in opinion are virtually identical across all the major polls.
Fivethirtyeight.com, the site I referenced before, tracks what they believe is the degree of bias introduced by each of the different political polling firms. I believe that Rasmussen is either third or fourth lowest in their ratings (that is good), scoring worse than Pew and better than Gallup. By the way, I am not implying that those biases are partisan. I believe they are methodological and hinge on technicalities of the type noted on Rasmussen's site. Fivethirtyeight.com uses its modeling of pollster "bias" to adjust each set of polls in an effort to make them more comparable to each other. That method has proven to be extraordinarily accurate in predicting electoral outcomes, making it a fun site to follow during an election.
And this graphically shows that those who live off handouts, WIC, Section 8s and various other entitlement programs paid for by the working stiffs, now outnumber those poor working stiffs and can now outvote those that actually work and pay real estate and income taxes. Scary....
Received this by email and was asked to pass it along. It seems to belong here in this thread:
Professor Joseph Olson of Hemline University School of Law , St. Paul , Minnesota , points out some interesting facts concerning our recent Presidential election:
* Number of States won by: Democrats: 19 Republicans: 29
* Square miles of land won by: Democrats: 580,000 Republicans: 2,427,000
* Population of counties won by: Democrats: 127 million Republicans: 143 million
* Murder rate per 100,000 residents in counties won by: Democrats: 13.2 Republicans: 2.1
Professor Olson adds: "In aggregate, the map of the territory Republicans won was mostly the land owned by the taxpaying citizens of the country. Democrat territory mostly encompassed those citizens living in government-owned tenements and living off various forms of government welfare..."
Olson believes the United States is now somewhere between the "complacency and apathy" phase of Professor Tyler's definition of democracy, with some forty percent of the nation's population already having reached the "governmental dependency" phase..
If Congress grants amnesty and citizenship to twenty million criminal invaders called illegals and they vote, then we can say goodbye to the USA in fewer than five years. If you are in favor of this, then by all means, delete this message.
If you are not, then pass this along to help everyone realize just how much is at stake, knowing that apathy is the greatest danger to our freedom.
I reside on the left coast, but my ideals are right wing.
LQP CN Double Hunter, SH (09/12/1996-12/22/2010)
Waterstrike's Dynamic Amazon, MH (10/18/2000-09/08/2011)
[See, for example,http://www.factcheck.org/askfactchec...ph_olsons.html]
Last edited by road kill; 06-22-2009 at 07:03 PM.
You are absolutely correct in that this poll only measures strong positives and strong negatives. I interpret that to mean that about a third of voters strongly disapprove and roughly the same number strongly approve. The other third are disinterested and uninformed. The only real information to take away from this is the trend. We'll see if it continues.
It takes as long as it takes. Sometimes longer.
"It is better to own a $50,000 dog and have an old truck and crummy equipment than to own $50,000 worth of new equipment and a crummy dog..." EdA